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SaltyDog's avatar

Thanks Greg, as always we appreciate your hard work and dedication and someone that cares for the pride!

I hope you are enjoying some down time with the in laws and doing some fun stuff to clear your mind - its always helpful to do from time to time in a world gone made... or if you read the good book, a world that constantly repeats the same mistakes over and over :)

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Mathieu Belanger-Camden's avatar

📅 DAILY UPDATES – Monday, 4/14/25

🔍 S&P500 / SPY Technical Breakdown

📉 Trend: Bearish trend resuming. That "Trump tariff pause" bounce? 🛑 Already fading.

📊 Volume Profile: Heavy volume on the plunge = possible capitulation. But bounce attempts? Weak. Bears still in control.

📈 MACD: Bullish crossover trying to form ⚠️ — MACD still under the zero line. Looks like a dead cat bounce 🐱↩️ forming, but no full shift yet.

📉 RSI: Climbed from oversold (~25) to just under 50. Good snapback, but not yet in bullish territory 💪❌.

🧠 Conclusion:

Primary Bias: Bearish.

This is just a bear rally until proven otherwise.

💡 Trade Ideas (1–5 Days):

🟢 Call Play (Momentum scalp): Buy SPY 540 Call, exp. April 19.

🔴 Put Play (Rejection at resistance): Buy SPY 540 Put, exp. April 19.

🛢️ USO (United States Oil Fund) Breakdown

🚨 Recent Action: Breakdown attempt to reclaim 9-day EMA failed ❌. Volume spiked = traders panicking.

📉 MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed. Momentum accelerating down.

📉 RSI: Near oversold (25), weak bounce. Stalled under 50 = ⚠️ no momentum.

📈 Bollinger Bands: Price broke & closed below lower band. High volatility = panic mode 😱.

🧠 Directional Call: BEARISH (Short Term)

💡 Trade Setups:

🔻 Buy USO 67 Put, exp. April 19 or 26 — slightly OTM.

🧨 Speculative: Buy USO 60 Put, exp. April 26.

⚠️ Avoid calls until price closes above $70, MACD curls up, RSI > 50.

🥇 GLD (Gold) Technical Breakdown

🌟 Trend: Bullish. Strong uptrend. No bearish setups right now. Safe-haven demand rising.

📈 Price: Reclaimed 9-day & 18-day SMAs. Bounce looks like trend continuation 🔄 — not a fakeout.

📈 MACD: Bullish crossover ✅, histogram rising. Momentum is with the bulls 🐂.

📈 RSI: Now in "power zone" >70 — strong trend strength.

📈 Bollinger Bands: Price riding the upper band with expansion 🔥 = breakout in play.

🧠 Directional Call: BULLISH (Short-term & Swing)

💡 Trade Setups:

📈 Breakout play: Buy GLD 290 Call, exp. April 19 or 26

🚀 Swing trend extension: Buy GLD 295 Call, exp. May 3

₿ BTC + XRP Technical Overview

💰 Bitcoin (BTC):

📉 Rebounded off $74K, now trading near $84K.

🚧 Resistance: $87K (200-DMA) — key to watch.

📈 RSI shows bullish divergence ➕ = Bears losing steam.

🧠 Bias: Neutral to Bullish. Needs to reclaim $87K for breakout.

💎 XRP:

📈 RSI climbing, not overbought — room to run.

📊 MACD bullish cross confirmed 🟢.

🧠 Bias: Bullish. Momentum is shifting in favor of buyers.

Want me to automate these updates into a daily format? Or make a graphic with the emoji-coded breakdowns? 😎📈

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