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W8878788766565's avatar

but 10 yr is overbought. on the chart . I am not hedged at all now. In fact bought some calls. Nothing that can break my portfolio but sentiments are extremely bearish. TLT oversold. Russia will never attack.

Russian goal is to not let Ukraine join NATO. They can achieve that just by keeping the army at the border. Think about it. As an added benefit, Russia will sell energy at higher prices and make more money.

If Biden still take steps to let Ukraine into NATO, well then Russia will attack and the world will blame USA.

So no Russian attacks. Gold may drop here. imo of course

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