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illuminati seed's avatar

I'm looking at hundreds of ETF's and I'm seeing seasonality shifts in the market. The next shift in smart money is coming soon, and you can see this in the ETF's AUM (assets under management). Every ETF I am seeing is showing similarities to the end of 2018 into the beginning of 2020, and the trend is identical to the end of 2019. What does this mean?! In my opinion, it means a shift out of equity's and into other dertivative exposure, and a crash is looming for equities...as soon as next month.

Homework assignment - Look at the AUM of SH (ProShares Short S&P500 ETF). The AUM is around $1.5 Billion. Every time the AUM dips below $1.2-$1.4 Billion, the S&P 500 begins to top out. Same thing for SPY (but the inverse observation). When the AUM exceeds a new high for assets, while the money flow dips below the 50 trend-mark, the market always either crashes or pulls back significantly. There are three instances that SPY signaled a downturn, using its AUM.

The first time was in December 2005, July 2006...signaling SPY topping in October 2007. The second time was in January 2018, December 2018...signaling SPY topping in Febrauary 2020. Now the third time was in December 2021, October 2022....signaling SPY topping out in December of 2023.

Several other ETF's show money is going to start shifting between December 2023 through April 2024. Why?! Most likely because these funds are losing money under management, while equities have been the top source of money flow since October of 2022.

QQQ is already signaling that a bust is about to happen, so it will most likely be the first to go before the S&P 500. Start looking for cash draining out of equities. Nasdaq is nearly done rallying.

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Jimychanga's avatar

You could be right, or the FED could be getting ready to pull your grandkids money into the present and juice like never before

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BooBoo's avatar

(Start looking for cash draining out of equities)

And where will that cash go to and when in December?

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illuminati seed's avatar

Precious Metals; Gold/Silver...Inverse ETF's that have been draining in returns. Commodities, more likely food, than energy. The market inhales and exhales through cycles. Right now its cycle is nearly identical to the dotcom bubble, which is no surprise after the rally in AI.

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Levi Broflovski's avatar

🎅🎅🎅 Merry Christmas Wall Street fat cats🤮

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Smoke and Mirrors's avatar

I'm so sick of this sht. I wish the worst for wall street and this corrupt country. The 10 year is not down that much. It is all wall street rhetoric driving this. It won't last but still pisses me off.

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G. Wayne Wylie's avatar

Wish oil opened up triple digits...

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Randy Best's avatar

More worthless financial engineering. Death to the stock markets.

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Smoke and Mirrors's avatar

Oops, ten year going up again. Was down to 4.39 and now up to 4.41. Wall street is trying to do what the Fed won't do for them. Wall Street can suck it.

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Janet's avatar

Thanks Greg for always keeping us updated and having our backs. Wishing you and your family and loved ones a very Happy and Blessed Thanksgiving.

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LV OLD MAN's avatar

THEY ARE TRYING TO KILL US ALL THE TIME

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JS's avatar

So, scary bank news and big FUD announcements on crypto, followed by stock market jump creating FOMO. Steering $ to the CEO club? 🤔 Look at the big carrot in THAT garden.

🥕🏃🏃🏃

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Kimberlay Kiernan's avatar

no shock here. Nothing to notice. Hahahaha.

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Major Nathan Maxwell Janice's avatar

Thx Greg 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻👍🏻👍🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻👌🏻👌🏻👌🏻👌🏻

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klaus slob's avatar

everything but commoditites👊

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Gregory Mannarino's avatar

Its RISK ON! I have covered this a lot as of late.

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Brook’s Golden State Of Mind's avatar

Happy Thanksgiving Greg. Hope it’s lovely. Much love, Brook

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Helma Albanese's avatar

Managia la miseria!

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klaus slob's avatar

yes you have thank you sir

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Smoke and Mirrors's avatar

Then why is the MMRI still in high risk territory?

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Gregory Mannarino's avatar

There is even risk in low territory. I have covered this at length in my videos.

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Smoke and Mirrors's avatar

I still don't think it warrants risk on is all I'm saying.

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klaus slob's avatar

point being oil commodities are manipulated the same as Tech stocks

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