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Luc's avatar

Woot woot!

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John Drop's avatar

Greg, even with familynin town, you take of us. You're good man. 🙌

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Mathieu Belanger-Camden's avatar

📅 DAILY UPDATES — Tuesday, 4/15/25

📊 S&P500 / SPY — Tactical Bounce or Trap?

🎯 Trend Outlook: Short-Term Bullish, Mid-Term Cautious

🔥 Price Action: V-shaped rebound off tariff pause headlines—fast, sharp, and aggressive. But sharp moves = fragile psychology.

📉 MACD: Bullish crossover cooking. Histogram bars shrinking = early momentum shifting. Both lines curling up = bullish continuation likely... for now.

📈 RSI: Climbing from the ashes (oversold), now mid-40s = decision zone. Still has room before overbought kicks in. 👀

🔊 Volume: Rebound volume heavy, but not as heavy as last week’s selloff = classic bear market rally potential. Institutions showed up, but conviction? TBD.

📌 Conclusion:

Short-Term: Bullish 🟢

Mid-Term: Cautious 🟡

"This rally has legs, but they’re standing in sand."

🎯 TRADE IDEAS:

🟢 Call Play: SPY April 19th 540 Call — ride the momentum.

⚖️ Neutral Strangle: Buy SPY 540 Call + 530 Put (April 19th) — volatility hedged.

🛢️ USO (United States Oil Fund) — Bearish Pressure Lingers

🎯 Trend Outlook: Bearish Bias with Room for Bounce 🐻⬆️

📉 Price Action: Struggling below the 9- & 18-day EMAs. Weak bounce = not reversal, just relief.

💔 MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed. Histogram fading = bounce running out of fuel.

🧭 RSI: Crawled out of oversold (now mid-40s) — might grind higher but on thin ice.

📊 Volume: Huge spike on bounce = likely short-covering. No confirmation of new inflows.

📌 Conclusion:

"This is a dead-cat bounce until proven otherwise. Respect the trend."

🎯 TRADE IDEAS:

🟢 Bullish Pop Play: USO April 26th $70 Call — scalp only.

🔴 Bearish Rollover: USO April 26th $67 Put — if bounce fails.

⚖️ Neutral Straddle: Buy April 26th $68 Call + $68 Put — volatility watch.

🪙 GLD (Gold ETF) — In the Gold Zone 🌟

🎯 Trend Outlook: Bullish But Extended

🚀 Price: Hovering near ATHs. Classic breakout vibes.

📈 MACD & RSI: Both are hot — bullish momentum strong, but overbought. Could spark short-term pullback.

📏 Bollinger Bands: Riding upper band = strong trend. But overstretched = caution.

📌 Conclusion:

"The trend is your friend… until it bends. Watch for a breather before more upside."

🎯 TRADE IDEAS:

🟢 Bullish: GLD April 26th $300 Call — breakout continuation.

🔴 Bearish Pullback Hedge: GLD April 26th $290 Put.

⚖️ Straddle Play: GLD April 26th $295 Call + $295 Put — volatility is value.

₿ Crypto Watch — BTC & XRP 🧠💹

💰 Bitcoin (BTC)

🎯 Trend Outlook: Neutral → Bullish

🧙‍♂️ Ichimoku Cloud: Thick resistance ahead. Rejection risk near $85K.

💡 Key Levels:

Break above $85K = 🚀 potential breakout

Lose $75K = 👎 deeper retrace

📌 Summary:

BTC is at a make-or-break spot. Wait for confirmation.

⚡ XRP (Ripple)

🎯 Trend Outlook: Bullish 📈

📐 Structure: Bull flag pattern forming.

📊 Weekly Indicators: 55W EMA > 155W MA = long-term golden signal.

⚠️ RSI: Not yet overbought = room for growth.

📌 Summary:

XRP is coiling for something big. Keep it on the radar.

🔔 Birdie’s Final Notes:

Markets are reactive right now — not proactive. Big moves from headlines, big money lurking in the shadows. Stay nimble, trade tight, and always hedge when unsure. 🐦💼

Need me to keep eyes on other names? Drop the ticker and let’s fly.

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John Drop's avatar

Thanks for this. How about PLTR?

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LV OLD MAN's avatar

USO HAS A k-1 watch out

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LionOfNorway's avatar

Thank you, Greg:)

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Craig's avatar

Greg, Would you do a video talking about how the rate of exchange helps the BIG CORPORATIONS. Thanks

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Todd Lutz US Army 1SG (RET)'s avatar

I wish I could maximize this data. Sadly, I have no ability to think constructively and multitask. I can barely function. But I agree you are a great man. Giving this advice. I get so many email blasts from folks with all the "great investment secrets" but first have to pay $90 for this top secret info. Well soon I hope to cash in with the Lord and get my "Well done faithful servant" pass and treasures in Heavens Home. God bless https://toddlutzusarmy1sgret.substack.com/p/life-throws-curve-balls-uganda-kagona?r=1k5h5t

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Rob Johnson's avatar

Greg, can you look into why I am being blocked from your website? I have never even commented before but have been a follower for 5 years. I look forward to seeing your analysis of the S&P, Oil, and Gold soon. Thanks for your help.

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donny diamond's avatar

https://www.infowars.com/posts/breaking-respected-economist-martin-armstrong-warns-the-democratic-party-in-alliance-with-the-totalitarian-eu-are-deliberately-trying-to-crash-the-us-economy

Respected Economist Martin Armstrong Warns The Democratic Party – In Alliance With The Totalitarian EU – Are Deliberately Trying To Crash The US Economy!

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Robert R's avatar

Thank you Greg !

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stinky's avatar

Greg, are the spy trades supposed to be bought and sold on the same day?

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TofuUnicorn's avatar

Thank you!

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Charlie's avatar

junior gold and silver miners are movimg.

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Cygnus X-1's avatar

Thank you so much for the reminders

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