The S&P-500 is showing a hidden bullish divergence and looks like it's at the head of a head and shoulders pattern forming. It's only 25% down so....this puppy just might end this possible correction right now.
i'm no longer buying long or short the market, it's too volatile and can pivot at any second....i think TIPS are the best place to be, and to collect the dividends, cause more inflation is innevitable.
TIPS means an ETF? Be careful, all Derivatives will go to mon(k)ey heaven. With shares, you own a share of a company, no matter what the money is worth. If the company doesn't go bankrupt, you still own a part of that company when the smoke clears. And physical Silver is a insurance against total control via CBDC.
TIPS can be purchased directly from the government through the Treasury-direct system, in $100 increments with a minimum investment of $100, and are available with 5-, 10-, and 30-year maturities.
Some investors prefer to get TIPS through a TIPS mutual fund or exchange-traded fund (ETF). Purchasing TIPS directly, however, allows investors to avoid the management fees associated with mutual funds.
...and "government issued"...and controled. Sounds like public education. I would not say TIPS are not safe, but one could question whether they're worth it.
No offense, but when bureaucrats or politicians determine what "higher" means in "...higher as inflation moves higher, and pays higher dividends", the market volatility doesn't seem as scary for some reason.
PEZ, I'm curious how you reconcile "...Last Rallye or last monster rallye (before the MOAB/mother of all bubbles/ bursts)" with other post' "...and buy Stocks as Inflation Hedge"?
The UN pronouncement that interest rate hikes are killing the economy is meant to keep the suckers in the market before the designed crash. Now the banks will print more money now to keep the bond market low for a while and people will stay in let the insiders trade their investment funds and not hedge with commodities and high dividends. Will not know when to get out and will go down with the middleclass.
The Federal Reserve is playing a 'balancing act' of increasing bond yield significantly without hurting the markets...and their goal of raising bond yields is so that they can lower them for a longer period of time in the future, because heavy investors want to see the Ten Year Yield steadily decline in order to obtain maximum profits...a drop from 3.5% down to 2.6% is not enough, a drop from 4% down to 3.6% is not enough...considering that the Ten Year Yield had been sitting under 1% all of 2020. The yield curve is too close to the floor, and will make no impact on the equity markets at this current level....no room for the "plunge protection team" . But by raising the yields higher and incrementally coming in to save the equity markets while performing rate hikes, this increases inflation significantly.
When rates are done the 10 year will settle @4.5-4.75% causing the economy to come to a significant slowdown. We are in a recession and it's going to get worse.
The stock market will drag on until late 2023 or early 2024.Then watch out below
REMINDER
Dow Jones Decade Cycle
https://www.seasonalcharts.de/img/DEKADE-ZYKL/DJ100J.GIF
Dow Jones Midterm Cycle
https://www.seasonalcharts.de/img/ELECTION-SPE/DJIA_W2.GIF
...
I told you so: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W-gngBsA_DI
...
Ceterum censeo carthaginem esse delendam.
https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/peter-schiff-bank-england-rings-mother-all-bells
FED to follow ...
Liked the "seasonal chart"
Buckle up
Love it...hahaha... there are more lyrics to follow shortly...
Yeah same old song and dance
The S&P-500 is showing a hidden bullish divergence and looks like it's at the head of a head and shoulders pattern forming. It's only 25% down so....this puppy just might end this possible correction right now.
S&P-500 Weekly Chart:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/JrmvvWJK/
buy the dip.
i'm no longer buying long or short the market, it's too volatile and can pivot at any second....i think TIPS are the best place to be, and to collect the dividends, cause more inflation is innevitable.
TIPS means an ETF? Be careful, all Derivatives will go to mon(k)ey heaven. With shares, you own a share of a company, no matter what the money is worth. If the company doesn't go bankrupt, you still own a part of that company when the smoke clears. And physical Silver is a insurance against total control via CBDC.
Mon(k)ey Gone To Heaven (Pixies): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EHC9HE7vazI
Ceterum censeo carthaginem esse delendam.
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/tips.asp
Thank you. Sounds good.
TIPS can be purchased directly from the government through the Treasury-direct system, in $100 increments with a minimum investment of $100, and are available with 5-, 10-, and 30-year maturities.
Some investors prefer to get TIPS through a TIPS mutual fund or exchange-traded fund (ETF). Purchasing TIPS directly, however, allows investors to avoid the management fees associated with mutual funds.
Better avoid the ETF variant.
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities...moves higher as inflation moves higher, and pays higher dividends.
...and "government issued"...and controled. Sounds like public education. I would not say TIPS are not safe, but one could question whether they're worth it.
No offense, but when bureaucrats or politicians determine what "higher" means in "...higher as inflation moves higher, and pays higher dividends", the market volatility doesn't seem as scary for some reason.
Yep
Silver is out of the bottle. It's going to get rough now. Fasten Seat Belts (and buy Stocks as Inflation Hedge).
Ceterum censeo carthaginem esse delendam.
/SI is showing a hidden bullish divergence and just formed the possible head of a head and shoulders pattern which is a reversal pattern.
/SI Weekly Chart:
https://www.tradingview.com/x/iiFTpgFf/
Expect more monkey hammers, but I can't be bothered to sell.
Keep stacking!
Carthage MUST be destroyed!
It's funny watching the DOW go down. Hahahahahahaha 😃🤣🤣
Be careful, it might be a bear 🐻 trap.
DOW Jones Daily Chart:
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1MCWPTunV6pDjdOKXA8BPto_BmMmaL_4BPK7a-dsVc2c/edit?usp=drivesdk
The last rally before the biggest crash ever!!!
agree. Last Rallye or last monster rallye (before the MOAB/mother of all bubbles/ bursts).
Ceterum censeo carthaginem esse delendam.
PEZ, I'm curious how you reconcile "...Last Rallye or last monster rallye (before the MOAB/mother of all bubbles/ bursts)" with other post' "...and buy Stocks as Inflation Hedge"?
Gregory Mannarino Flash-Back (September 29th, 2017):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VSlDqV_DtDE&ab_channel=GregoryMannarino
The system will end when the dollar becomes worthless and people don't want to hold anymore debt.
credit suisse???
Credit Suisse (yellow) vs Deutsche Bank (blue).
https://charts.comdirect.de/charts/rebrush/design_big.chart?AVGTYPE=simple&AXIS_SCALE=lin&DATA_SCALE=rel&HEIGHT=655&IND0=VOLUME&LCOLORS=5F696E+0c9c2e+147de6&LNOTATIONS=202509871+15423139+142991&SHOWHL=1&TIME_SPAN=SE&TO=1664828820&TYPE=MOUNTAIN&WIDTH=645&WITH_EARNINGS=1
It starts in Europe.
Domino Principle.
Greg,
Good afternoon.
You work yourself up on a daily basis.
The stress you put yourself under can cause you to get a heart attack.
IMO<>I disagree with you.
This inflation cycle was caused by supply chain breakdown and pure greed..
Yes we are in a recession and it will get worse.
With regard to the Fed raising interest rates. It takes 12 months or one year to have a full economic impact. Rate increases as follows.
3/17/22 <>0.25%
5/5/22<>0.50%
6/16/22<>0.75%
7/27/22<>0.75%
9/21/22<>0.75%
This will slow the economy and cause demand destruction.
One thing to watch
Estimates are starting to come in @ $65-$100 billion damage caused by Hurricane Ian in Florida
Tragically over 100 people died thus far. So sad. May they RIP
So stop destroying your room and relax and start paying attention to the long term historical charts and data.
Relax and enjoy the evening.
Thanks.
WOT
https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/historical/marketindexes.html
Big into Nat Gas.
Energy doing well
Wheat works. Will take profit THIS month / in two weeks.
FYI: NatGazSeasonalChart
https://www.seasonalcharts.de/img/ENERGY-FUT/NAT_GAS.GIF
I think that the Ukraine situation changes this due to less gas on the market than normal
The UN pronouncement that interest rate hikes are killing the economy is meant to keep the suckers in the market before the designed crash. Now the banks will print more money now to keep the bond market low for a while and people will stay in let the insiders trade their investment funds and not hedge with commodities and high dividends. Will not know when to get out and will go down with the middleclass.
Wasn’t complaining when rates were zero interest now they’re holding the bag 💼
The ultimate insider trading window.
Yeah don’t butt in line or I will give you a number and take away your name
SHORT
The Federal Reserve is playing a 'balancing act' of increasing bond yield significantly without hurting the markets...and their goal of raising bond yields is so that they can lower them for a longer period of time in the future, because heavy investors want to see the Ten Year Yield steadily decline in order to obtain maximum profits...a drop from 3.5% down to 2.6% is not enough, a drop from 4% down to 3.6% is not enough...considering that the Ten Year Yield had been sitting under 1% all of 2020. The yield curve is too close to the floor, and will make no impact on the equity markets at this current level....no room for the "plunge protection team" . But by raising the yields higher and incrementally coming in to save the equity markets while performing rate hikes, this increases inflation significantly.
IMO
When rates are done the 10 year will settle @4.5-4.75% causing the economy to come to a significant slowdown. We are in a recession and it's going to get worse.
The stock market will drag on until late 2023 or early 2024.Then watch out below
Thanks,
WOT